Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.121292 0.142400 0.165678 0.193197 0.224782 0.259836 0.301623
2025-12-28 0.086762 0.115170 0.150008 0.195588 0.253333 0.323703 0.415562
2026-01-04 0.069560 0.101240 0.143270 0.202471 0.282952 0.387677 0.533225
2026-01-11 0.057471 0.090377 0.136988 0.206742 0.307141 0.444812 0.645854
2026-01-18 0.048105 0.081060 0.130527 0.208586 0.326622 0.495892 0.753657
2026-01-25 0.040593 0.072900 0.124037 0.208696 0.342497 0.542154 0.857606
2026-02-01 0.034151 0.065156 0.116749 0.206076 0.353146 0.580742 0.952606
2026-02-08 0.028850 0.058323 0.109751 0.202627 0.361482 0.615744 1.044183
2026-02-15 0.023873 0.051122 0.100957 0.194751 0.361227 0.636485 1.114205
2026-02-22 0.022284 0.050037 0.102780 0.205432 0.393147 0.711694 1.277683
2026-03-01 0.018915 0.044791 0.096119 0.199787 0.395669 0.737638 1.360934
2026-03-08 0.015917 0.039752 0.089083 0.192428 0.394058 0.755902 1.431891
2026-03-15 0.013556 0.035714 0.083565 0.187500 0.396773 0.782589 1.520846
2026-03-22 0.012231 0.033814 0.082233 0.190848 0.415722 0.840235 1.669756
2026-03-29 0.011334 0.032772 0.082584 0.197678 0.442099 0.913529 1.852347
2026-04-05 0.010348 0.031310 0.081772 0.201868 0.463436 0.978782 2.024397
2026-04-12 0.009326 0.029549 0.079998 0.203673 0.479900 1.035713 2.184408
2026-04-19 0.008335 0.027660 0.077626 0.203781 0.492647 1.086071 2.334866
2026-04-26 0.007330 0.025519 0.074300 0.201217 0.499248 1.124434 2.464158
2026-05-03 0.006419 0.023449 0.070830 0.197841 0.503624 1.158402 2.586728
2026-05-10 0.005450 0.020969 0.065875 0.190133 0.497272 1.169333 2.662925
2026-05-17 0.005286 0.021071 0.067979 0.200586 0.534204 1.274829 2.941345
2026-05-24 0.004574 0.019159 0.064127 0.195062 0.532559 1.296746 3.045602